Gillingham vs Barrow: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barrow wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gillingham vs Barrow?
On Elo ratings, Gillingham has 1,686 points and Barrow 1,747.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gillingham vs Barrow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 3Conor McManus
- 6E. Coleman
- 5A. Smith
- 19O. Beckles
- 26L. Dobbs
- 40R. Luthra
Barrow
4-3-3- 19A. Allen
- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 25R. Harper
- 10K. Ward
- 5C. Edwards
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 33Xavier Deandrae Benjamin
- 26P. Kalambayi
- 1B. Winterbottom
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Barrow have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 3-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gillingham wins, 1 draw, 2 Barrow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Barrow 0-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Gillingham 2-2 Barrow | League Two |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Barrow 3-0 Gillingham | League Two |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Gillingham 2-0 Barrow | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Gillingham 3-0 Barrow | League Two |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Barrow 2-0 Gillingham | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Gillingham score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Barrow | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Gillingham vs Barrow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Barrow?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Gillingham vs Barrow played?
- Gillingham vs Barrow is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.