Match

Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza

Gimnasia M.Newells Old Boys

The Footlab AI model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnasia M. wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Gimnasia M. (1,900) and Newells Old Boys (1,864).

38%30%32%
Gimnasia M. winDrawNewells Old Boys win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gimnasia M.

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Módica
  1. 30E. Fernández
  2. 21F. Antonini
  3. 26F. Lencioni
  4. 28T. O'Connor
  5. 7L. Cingolani
  1. 4E. Muñoz
  2. 3M. Recalde
  3. 2D. Mondino
  4. 32L. Paredes
  1. 23C. Rigamonti

Newells Old Boys

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. Cóccaro
  1. 7W. Mazzantti
  2. 5L. Regiardo
  3. 20Facundo Gauch
  4. 26R. Herrera
  5. 32S. Solari
  1. 17L. Gianetti
  2. 6M. Ortega
  3. 16L. Carrizo
  4. 28J. Russo
  1. 30J. Reinatti

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia M. have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia M.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 19, 2026Deportivo Riestra(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 11, 2026Defensa Y Justicia(away)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 5, 2026Boca Juniors(home)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 30, 2026Independiente(away)3-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Newells Old Boys
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Lanus(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 20, 2026Platense(away)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 11, 2026Velez Sarsfield(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026Rosario Central(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 31, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(away)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Gimnasia M. wins, 0 draws, 1 Newells Old Boys win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Newells Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia M. score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gimnasia M.1.21.265/157/15
Newells Old Boys1.10.868/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia M. sit 7th in Liga Profesional Argentina (17 points from 11 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Newells Old Boys1145211817
7Gimnasia M.11524141217

A question about Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Newells Old Boys.
Where and when is Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys played?
Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys is played on October 12, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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