Where and when is Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys played?

Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza

Gimnasia M.

Newells Old Boys

The Footlab model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Gimnasia M. (1,862) and Newells Old Boys (1,793).

Gimnasia M. win54 %

Draw27 %

Newells Old Boys win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia M. have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia M.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gimnasia L.P.(away)	3-2	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 18, 2026	Talleres Cordoba(home)	3-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Instituto Cordoba(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 1, 2026	Union Santa Fe(home)	2-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 28, 2026	San Lorenzo(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Banfield(home)	2-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Riestra(home)	2-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Defensa Y Justicia(away)	1-2	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026	Boca Juniors(home)	2-2	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 31, 2026	Independiente(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gimnasia M. win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Newells Old Boys win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Newells Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia M.	Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia M. score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia M.	1.2	1.1	5	7/15	6/15
Newells Old Boys	1.2	1.3	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia M. sit 11th in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 16 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 14th (15 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gimnasia M.	6	4	0	2	9	5	12
6	Newells Old Boys	6	3	1	2	8	6	10
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	19
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15	27	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys?: The Footlab model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Newells Old Boys.
Where and when is Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys played?: Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.