Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Calvo Sotelo played?

Atlético Astorga vs Calvo Sotelo is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Astorga vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga

Atlético Astorga

Calvo Sotelo

The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,888) and Calvo Sotelo (1,938).

Atlético Astorga win38 %

Draw28 %

Calvo Sotelo win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Astorga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	La Bañeza(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	UD Ourense(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Sarriana(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Calvo Sotelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	La Solana(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026	Toledo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026	Cazalegas(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026	Huracán Balazote(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026	Guadalajara II(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Astorga	1.3	1.3	5	7/15	7/15
Calvo Sotelo	1.7	0.6	8	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Calvo Sotelo?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Calvo Sotelo played?: Atlético Astorga vs Calvo Sotelo is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.