Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia played?

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia

Gimnástica Segoviana

Numancia

The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia?

Numancia starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,942 vs 1,842).

Gimnástica Segoviana win34 %

Draw30 %

Numancia win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnástica Segoviana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Madrid II(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Valladolid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Numancia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 28, 2025	Numancia 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 14, 2024	Numancia 3-1 Gimnástica Segoviana	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 3, 2023	Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 Numancia	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 6, 2022	Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Numancia	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnástica Segoviana	0.8	1.3	3	6/15	6/15
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia?: The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia played?: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.