Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia?
Numancia starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnástica Segoviana
4-4-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 15L. Brun
- 8Sergio Orviz
- 14Fer Llorente
- 23Sanchidrián
- 19Tito
- 21Alfredo Pedraza
- 2Luis Aguado
- 4H. Espierrez
- 5S. Lecea
- 13Arnau Rafús
Numancia
4-4-2- 18Pablo Cortés
- 9Jony González
- 14César Moreno
- 19I. Leon
- 8M. Gning
- 16H. Torondel
- 23Borja López
- 4Pelayo Suárez
- 5Fran González
- 27S. Flores
- 13G. Sunico
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Numancia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win, 1 draw, 3 Numancia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Numancia 1-0 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Numancia 3-1 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Gimnástica Segoviana 2-0 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Numancia | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Segoviana score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Numancia | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnástica Segoviana sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (10 points from 8 matches) and Numancia sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Numancia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia played?
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Numancia is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 20, 2026NavalcarnerovsAlbacete II
- Dec 20, 2026SS ReyesvsGuadalajara
- Dec 20, 2026RSD AlcalávsReal Valladolid II
- Dec 20, 2026Atlético AstorgavsCalvo Sotelo
- Dec 20, 2026Real ÁvilavsCF Talavera
- Dec 20, 2026CalamochavsGetafe II
- Dec 20, 2026A Madrid IIIvsSalamanca UDS