Match

Real Ávila vs CF Talavera: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila

Real ÁvilaCF Talavera

The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for CF Talavera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Ávila vs CF Talavera?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,890) and CF Talavera (1,898).

Real Ávila win44 %
Draw28 %
CF Talavera win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; CF Talavera have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Ávila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Racing Santander II(away)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Getafe II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Illescas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Cacereño(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Ourense CF(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Real Ávila win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 CF Talavera win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2025CF Talavera 1-0 Real ÁvilaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: CF Talavera vs Real Ávila on Aug 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Ávila1.61.759/1511/15
CF Talavera0.90.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3CF Talavera341996502766

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs CF Talavera?
The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for CF Talavera.
Where and when is Real Ávila vs CF Talavera played?
Real Ávila vs CF Talavera is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Ávila and CF Talavera

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