Match

Conquense vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca

ConquenseAtlético Tordesillas

The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Conquense vs Atlético Tordesillas?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Conquense (1,911) and Atlético Tordesillas (1,919).

Conquense win42 %
Draw28 %
Atlético Tordesillas win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Conquense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026UD Ourense(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Xerez(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Xerez(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Real Madrid III(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Atlético Tordesillas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Guijuelo(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026Real Ávila(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Guijuelo(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Conquense1.10.965/154/15
Atlético Tordesillas1.71.149/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Conquense3416126423060

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Atlético Tordesillas?
The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Tordesillas.
Where and when is Conquense vs Atlético Tordesillas played?
Conquense vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Conquense and Atlético Tordesillas

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