Match

Navalcarnero vs Albacete II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

NavalcarneroAlbacete II

The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Albacete II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Albacete II?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,860) and Albacete II (1,906).

Navalcarnero win39 %
Draw28 %
Albacete II win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Albacete II have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Colonia Moscardó(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Conquense(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026CD Coria(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Leioa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 13, 2026Leioa(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 6, 2026Manchego(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 30, 2026Manchego(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 24, 2026Toledo(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero1.31.537/158/15
Albacete II1.50.4102/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Navalcarnero34111013404243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Albacete II?
The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Albacete II.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Albacete II played?
Navalcarnero vs Albacete II is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Navalcarnero and Albacete II

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