GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Legia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Legia Warszawa (2,059).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 GKS Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Legia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | GKS Katowice 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Legia Warszawa 3-1 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 26, 2025 | GKS Katowice 1-3 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 4-1 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Legia Warszawa 3-0 GKS Katowice | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Legia Warszawa.
- Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa played?
- GKS Katowice vs Legia Warszawa is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Wisla PlockvsSlask Wroclaw
- Dec 5, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsWisla Krakow
- Dec 5, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsGornik Zabrze
- Dec 5, 2026Piast GliwicevsJagiellonia
- Dec 5, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsWidzew Łódź
- Dec 5, 2026Radomiak RadomvsRaków Częstochowa
- Dec 5, 2026Motor LublinvsLech Poznan
- Dec 5, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsKorona Kielce