Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia played?

Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,917).

Piast Gliwice win40 %

Draw26 %

Jagiellonia win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Piast Gliwice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(home)	3-4	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Lech Poznan(away)	0-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	0-2	Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Piast Gliwice win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Jagiellonia 1-2 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Sep 13, 2025	Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Apr 6, 2025	Jagiellonia 1-1 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Sep 29, 2024	Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
May 18, 2024	Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Nov 24, 2023	Jagiellonia 0-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Piast Gliwice on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Piast Gliwice	1.4	1.6	4	8/15	7/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	8	13	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia played?: Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.