Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa?
Raków Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Radomiak Radom win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 3-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 0-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 2-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radomiak Radom sit 16th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa played?
- Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Wisla PlockvsSlask Wroclaw
- Dec 5, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsWisla Krakow
- Dec 5, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsGornik Zabrze
- Dec 5, 2026Piast GliwicevsJagiellonia
- Dec 5, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsWidzew Łódź
- Dec 5, 2026GKS KatowicevsLegia Warszawa
- Dec 5, 2026Motor LublinvsLech Poznan
- Dec 5, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsKorona Kielce