Match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zaglebie LubinWisla Krakow

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,950) and Wisla Krakow (1,983).

Zaglebie Lubin win43 %
Draw27 %
Wisla Krakow win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Lubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Slask Wroclaw(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Wisla Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Plock(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)3-4Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026GKS Katowice(home)2-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wisla Krakow win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 11, 2021Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Jul 26, 2021Wisla Krakow 3-0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Apr 21, 2021Zaglebie Lubin 4-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Nov 28, 2020Wisla Krakow 1-2 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Jul 14, 2020Zaglebie Lubin 3-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Feb 16, 2020Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow on Dec 11, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin1.30.974/156/15
Wisla Krakow1.91.268/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Zaglebie Lubin4211547
7Wisla Krakow521210107

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow?
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Krakow.
Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow played?
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaglebie Lubin and Wisla Krakow

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