Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,950) and Wisla Krakow (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wisla Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 3-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Zaglebie Lubin 4-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 14, 2020 | Zaglebie Lubin 3-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow on Dec 11, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Krakow.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Krakow is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Wisla PlockvsSlask Wroclaw
- Dec 5, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsGornik Zabrze
- Dec 5, 2026Piast GliwicevsJagiellonia
- Dec 5, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsWidzew Łódź
- Dec 5, 2026GKS KatowicevsLegia Warszawa
- Dec 5, 2026Radomiak RadomvsRaków Częstochowa
- Dec 5, 2026Motor LublinvsLech Poznan
- Dec 5, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsKorona Kielce