GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Motor Lublin (1,934).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GKS Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Motor Lublin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 17, 2026 | GKS Katowice 3-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Motor Lublin 2-5 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Motor Lublin 3-2 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2024 | GKS Katowice 0-0 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 19, 2024 | GKS Katowice 2-0 Motor Lublin | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
- The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Motor Lublin.
- Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin played?
- GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Slask WroclawvsZaglebie Lubin
- Feb 13, 2027Wisla KrakowvsGornik Zabrze
- Feb 13, 2027Korona KielcevsWidzew Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Lech PoznanvsWisla Plock
- Feb 13, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsJagiellonia
- Feb 13, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsCracovia Krakow
- Feb 13, 2027Radomiak RadomvsLegia Warszawa
- Feb 13, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsPiast Gliwice