Match

GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS KatowiceMotor Lublin

The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Motor Lublin (1,934).

GKS Katowice win60 %
Draw22 %
Motor Lublin win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

GKS Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Plock(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Motor Lublin(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)2-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)0-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026GKS Katowice(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GKS Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Motor Lublin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Motor Lublin 1-0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Apr 17, 2026GKS Katowice 3-2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Oct 17, 2025Motor Lublin 2-5 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Feb 24, 2025Motor Lublin 3-2 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Aug 16, 2024GKS Katowice 0-0 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Feb 19, 2024GKS Katowice 2-0 Motor LublinI Liga

Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
GKS Katowice1.91.148/158/15
Motor Lublin1.41.639/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8GKS Katowice4202946
13Motor Lublin5122685

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin?
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin played?
GKS Katowice vs Motor Lublin is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: GKS Katowice and Motor Lublin

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