Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,943) and Widzew Łódź (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Korona Kielce win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| May 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce 1-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-3 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Korona Kielce 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Korona Kielce 1-0 Widzew Łódź | Cup |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 0-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Slask WroclawvsZaglebie Lubin
- Feb 13, 2027Wisla KrakowvsGornik Zabrze
- Feb 13, 2027Lech PoznanvsWisla Plock
- Feb 13, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsJagiellonia
- Feb 13, 2027GKS KatowicevsMotor Lublin
- Feb 13, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsCracovia Krakow
- Feb 13, 2027Radomiak RadomvsLegia Warszawa
- Feb 13, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsPiast Gliwice