Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia played?

Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Jagiellonia (2,060).

Pogon Szczecin win45 %

Draw26 %

Jagiellonia win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Jagiellonia 3-2 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 9, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
May 24, 2025	Jagiellonia 1-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Dec 1, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Apr 26, 2024	Jagiellonia 2-2 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Apr 3, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Jagiellonia	Cup

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia played?: Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.