Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa?
Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Radomiak Radom win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Legia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 5-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 3-1 Radomiak Radom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Legia Warszawa 4-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 3-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 4-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radomiak Radom sit 16th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa played?
- Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Slask WroclawvsZaglebie Lubin
- Feb 13, 2027Wisla KrakowvsGornik Zabrze
- Feb 13, 2027Korona KielcevsWidzew Łódź
- Feb 13, 2027Lech PoznanvsWisla Plock
- Feb 13, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsJagiellonia
- Feb 13, 2027GKS KatowicevsMotor Lublin
- Feb 13, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsCracovia Krakow
- Feb 13, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsPiast Gliwice