Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Cracovia Krakow (1,945) and Gornik Zabrze (2,037).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cracovia Krakow have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cracovia Krakow win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gornik Zabrze win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze 3-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 3-2 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| May 3, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 5-0 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 1-4 Gornik Zabrze | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gornik Zabrze | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 5 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?
- The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gornik Zabrze.
- Where and when is Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze played?
- Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026JagielloniavsSlask Wroclaw
- Sep 5, 2026Korona KielcevsWisla Krakow
- Sep 5, 2026Lech PoznanvsRaków Częstochowa
- Sep 5, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWisla Plock
- Sep 5, 2026Piast GliwicevsGKS Katowice
- Sep 5, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 5, 2026Motor LublinvsLegia Warszawa
- Sep 5, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsZaglebie Lubin