Grimsby vs Barnet: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Barnet. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grimsby vs Barnet?
On Elo ratings, Grimsby has 1,826 points and Barnet 1,928.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grimsby vs Barnet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 39A. Cook
- 4K. Green
- 30C. Vernam
- 28F. Cartwright
- 14J. Amaluzor
- 15G. Turi
- 3J. Sweeney
- 5H. Rodgers
- 17C. McJannet
- 2M. Kacurri
- 31C. Pym
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 23J. Reeves
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Barnet have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Grimsby wins, 2 draws, 1 Barnet win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Grimsby 1-0 Barnet | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Barnet 3-0 Grimsby | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Barnet 2-2 Grimsby | National League |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Grimsby 4-3 Barnet | National League |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Grimsby 2-2 Barnet | League Two |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Barnet 0-2 Grimsby | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Barnet | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grimsby sit 11th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Barnet sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Grimsby vs Barnet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grimsby vs Barnet?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Barnet.
- Where and when is Grimsby vs Barnet played?
- Grimsby vs Barnet is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blundell Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.