Barnet vs Colchester: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnet vs Colchester?
Barnet starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnet vs Colchester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 23J. Reeves
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 27O. Thorn
- 12M. Sesay
- 7H. Anderson
- 10J. Payne
- 26J. Williams
- 15B. Lubala
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 6P. Digby
- 44S. Kuffour
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnet have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Colchester have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barnet win, 2 draws, 3 Colchester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Colchester 4-1 Barnet | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Barnet 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Colchester 0-1 Barnet | League Two |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Barnet 0-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Colchester 2-1 Barnet | League Two |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Barnet 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnet sit 2nd in League Two (18 points from 8 matches) and Colchester sit 19th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Barnet vs Colchester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnet vs Colchester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Colchester.
- Where and when is Barnet vs Colchester played?
- Barnet vs Colchester is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.