Navalcarnero vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 · Matchday 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navalcarnero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Atlético Tordesillas?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,912) and Atlético Tordesillas (1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Tordesillas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Navalcarnero
Not enough data to predict the Navalcarnero lineup.
Atlético Tordesillas
4-3-3- 10Chatun
- 7D. Diez
- 11Samu
- 6M. Hernandez
- 14A. Conejo
- 24Emi
- 4J. Castano
- 12F. Manja
- 3D. Herrador
- 17A. Rodriguez
- 13Farolo
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 2-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Guadalajara(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 3-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Navalcarnero wins, 1 draw, 0 Atlético Tordesillas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas 2-2 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Tordesillas vs Navalcarnero on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlético Tordesillas | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Navalcarnero sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (16 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Tordesillas sit 12th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Navalcarnero | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 12 | Atlético Tordesillas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Navalcarnero vs Atlético Tordesillas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Tordesillas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Atlético Tordesillas.
- Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Atlético Tordesillas played?
- Navalcarnero vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.