Numancia vs SS Reyes: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria
The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for SS Reyes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Numancia vs SS Reyes?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Numancia (1,942) and SS Reyes (1,988).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SS Reyes have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Numancia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SS Reyes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | SS Reyes 7-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Numancia 1-1 SS Reyes | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Numancia 1-0 SS Reyes | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| SS Reyes | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SS Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Numancia vs SS Reyes?
- The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for SS Reyes.
- Where and when is Numancia vs SS Reyes played?
- Numancia vs SS Reyes is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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