Match

Salamanca UDS vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca

Salamanca UDSReal Ávila

The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salamanca UDS vs Real Ávila?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Salamanca UDS (1,874) and Real Ávila (1,890).

Salamanca UDS win42 %
Draw27 %
Real Ávila win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca UDS have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Real Ávila have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salamanca UDS
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lealtad(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Burgos Promesas(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Real Ávila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Racing Santander II(away)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Salamanca UDS win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Real Ávila win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Real Ávila 1-2 Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 16, 2025Salamanca UDS 1-3 Real ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 23, 2025Real Ávila 0-1 Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 10, 2024Salamanca UDS 2-1 Real ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 3, 2024Real Ávila 0-2 Salamanca UDSTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 15, 2023Salamanca UDS 0-2 Real ÁvilaTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Salamanca UDS on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salamanca UDS1.01.537/157/15
Real Ávila1.61.759/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salamanca UDS vs Real Ávila?
The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is Salamanca UDS vs Real Ávila played?
Salamanca UDS vs Real Ávila is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Salamanca UDS and Real Ávila

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