CF Talavera vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina
The Footlab AI model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If CF Talavera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Talavera vs A Madrid III?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,918) and A Madrid III (1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Talavera vs A Madrid III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Talavera
Not enough data to predict the CF Talavera lineup.
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; A Madrid III have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
CF Talavera score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Talavera | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| A Madrid III | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Talavera sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 6 matches) and A Madrid III sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | A Madrid III | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
A question about CF Talavera vs A Madrid III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs A Madrid III?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for A Madrid III.
- Where and when is CF Talavera vs A Madrid III played?
- CF Talavera vs A Madrid III is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027NumanciavsSS Reyes
- Jan 24, 2027NavalcarnerovsAtlético Tordesillas
- Jan 24, 2027Real Valladolid IIvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Jan 24, 2027Salamanca UDSvsReal Ávila
- Jan 24, 2027Atlético AstorgavsRSD Alcalá
- Jan 24, 2027CalamochavsAlbacete II
- Jan 24, 2027Calvo SotelovsGetafe II
- Jan 24, 2027GuadalajaravsConquense