Where and when is CF Talavera vs A Madrid III played?

CF Talavera vs A Madrid III is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Talavera vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF Talavera

A Madrid III

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs A Madrid III?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,898) and A Madrid III (1,844).

CF Talavera win47 %

Draw27 %

A Madrid III win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; A Madrid III have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Getafe II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Illescas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Cacereño(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

A Madrid III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Móstoles(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Unión Adarve(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Talavera	0.9	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
A Madrid III	2.1	1.4	2	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	CF Talavera	34	19	9	6	50	27	66

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs A Madrid III?: The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for A Madrid III.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs A Madrid III played?: CF Talavera vs A Madrid III is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.