Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
The Footlab model makes Mushuc Runa SC the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Guayaquil City FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Guayaquil City FC (1,725) and Mushuc Runa SC (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guayaquil City FC have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mushuc Runa SC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Libertad(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Macara(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Libertad(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guayaquil City FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mushuc Runa SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-2 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Guayaquil City FC 3-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC 3-0 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Guayaquil City FC 4-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Guayaquil City FC 4-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-0 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Mushuc Runa SC vs Guayaquil City FC on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guayaquil City FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mushuc Runa SC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guayaquil City FC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guayaquil City FC sit 10th in Liga Pro (33 points from 26 matches) and Mushuc Runa SC sit 9th (33 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mushuc Runa SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
- The Footlab model makes Mushuc Runa SC the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Guayaquil City FC.
- Where and when is Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC played?
- Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.