Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra, Ibarra
The Footlab model makes Leones del Norte the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tecnico Universitario. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
Leones del Norte starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leones del Norte have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tecnico Universitario have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 30, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-6 | Copa Ecuador |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Emelec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-5 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Leones del Norte win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tecnico Universitario win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario 2-1 Leones del Norte | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leones del Norte score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tecnico Universitario score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones del Norte | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tecnico Universitario | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leones del Norte sit 8th in Liga Pro (35 points from 26 matches) and Tecnico Universitario sit 14th (26 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 35 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23 | 37 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario?
- The Footlab model makes Leones del Norte the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Tecnico Universitario.
- Where and when is Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario played?
- Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.