LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Deportivo Cuenca. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca?
LDU de Quito starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LDU de Quito have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Deportivo Cuenca have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Orense SC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 LDU de Quito win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Cuenca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Nov 13, 2025 | LDU de Quito 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 20, 2025 | LDU de Quito 2-2 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Dec 1, 2024 | LDU de Quito 5-0 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| Aug 28, 2024 | LDU de Quito 3-0 Deportivo Cuenca | Copa Ecuador |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LDU de Quito score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cuenca score 0.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LDU de Quito sit 5th in Liga Pro (41 points from 26 matches) and Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th (32 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 41 |
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 32 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca?
- The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Deportivo Cuenca.
- Where and when is LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca played?
- LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.