Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
The Footlab model makes Universidad Catolica the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Orense SC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC?
Universidad Catolica starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Orense SC have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 5-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Macara(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Libertad(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 5-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Libertad(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Universidad Catolica win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Orense SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Orense SC 1-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Universidad Catolica 0-0 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Orense SC 2-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Orense SC 1-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Universidad Catolica 2-0 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Orense SC 2-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Orense SC score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Orense SC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 3rd in Liga Pro (43 points from 26 matches) and Orense SC sit 12th (30 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 12 | Orense SC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 39 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC?
- The Footlab model makes Universidad Catolica the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Orense SC.
- Where and when is Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC played?
- Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.