Guijuelo vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guijuelo vs Mirandés II?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Guijuelo (1,844) and Mirandés II (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mirandés II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ribert(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Guijuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mirandés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Guijuelo 1-0 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Mirandés II 0-0 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Mirandés II 0-1 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Guijuelo 1-0 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs Mirandés II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guijuelo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guijuelo sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (70 points from 34 matches) and Mirandés II sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 70 |
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs Mirandés II?
- The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Mirandés II.
- Where and when is Guijuelo vs Mirandés II played?
- Guijuelo vs Mirandés II is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 11, 2026Burgos PromesasvsUD Santa Marta
- Oct 11, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsAlmazán
- Oct 11, 2026La Virgen del CaminovsAtlético Mansillés
- Oct 11, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsCalasanz de Soria
- Oct 11, 2026Palencia CFvsSalamanca II
- Oct 11, 2026VillaralbovsTurégano
- Oct 11, 2026Unionistas IIvsBembibre