Sporting CP vs UD da Serra: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for UD da Serra. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP vs UD da Serra?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,423 Elo points against 1,879, a 544-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs UD da Serra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 97L. Suárez
- 19N. Irankunda
- 31Luis Guilherme
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 4S. Andersen
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 30Kaique
UD da Serra
4-3-3- 9I. Nabais
- 17D. Gameiro
- 11Vieirinha
- 23G. Isaias
- 10M. Pereira
- 20W. Costa
- 3T. F. Justino G.
- 6R. Rodrigues
- 92B. Castro
- 2T. Neto
- 1D. Santos
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; UD da Serra have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Fátima(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UD da Serra score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| UD da Serra | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sporting CP vs UD da Serra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs UD da Serra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for UD da Serra.
- Where and when is Sporting CP vs UD da Serra played?
- Sporting CP vs UD da Serra is played on November 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.