Atlético CP vs Casa Pia: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Casa Pia the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Atlético CP. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casa Pia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs Casa Pia?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Atlético CP (2,025) and Casa Pia (2,008).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético CP vs Casa Pia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 38Caio Santana
- 11H. Suker
- 19S. Traore
- 10Caleb
- 28Mohamed Konate
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 33A. Calegari
- 4D. Henriques
- 22N. Hidalgo
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1- 9Henrique Araújo
- 77B. Pauwels
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
- 24S. Pérez
- 16Silvi
- 11M. El Boukammiri
- 18Geraldes
- 75Pedro Rosas
- 43David Sousa
- 3Kaly
- 1P. Sequeira
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Casa Pia have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Casa Pia | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Atlético CP vs Casa Pia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs Casa Pia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Casa Pia the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Atlético CP.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs Casa Pia played?
- Atlético CP vs Casa Pia is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.