Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria: result 3-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup stage · Matchday 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional 24 de Setembro, Bissau
Full time
What was the result of Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Guinea-Bissau won 3-0 on September 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 15′Franculino DjúGuinea-Bissau
- 66′Mama BaldéGuinea-Bissau
- 90′Álvaro DjalóGuinea-Bissau
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Nigeria win at 64%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 3-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guinea-Bissau
4-3-3- 17Mama Baldé
- 9Beto
- 10Franculino Djú
- 19Renato Nhaga
- 11R. Vieira
- 7Dálcio
- 3Adramane Cassamá
- 2Víctor Rofino
- 22Opa Sanganté
- 15Jefferson Encada
- 23Fernando Embadje
Nigeria
4-3-1-2- 19T. Awoniyi
- 22A. Adams
- 7Ademola Lookman
- 17A. Iwobi
- 4W. Ndidi
- 8F. Onyeka
- 3S. Onyemaechi
- 21C. Bassey
- 6S. Ajayi
- 12B. Osayi-Samuel
- 23S. Nwabali
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea-Bissau have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Nigeria have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tanzania(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Burkina Faso(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Poland(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2026 | Jamaica(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| May 26, 2026 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Guinea-Bissau win, 0 draws, 3 Nigeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria on Jan 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea-Bissau score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nigeria score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Nigeria | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea-Bissau sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Nigeria sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy