Tanzania vs Nigeria: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 4Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gombani Stadium, Gombani
The Footlab AI model makes Nigeria the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Tanzania. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tanzania vs Nigeria?
Nigeria starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,472).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tanzania vs Nigeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tanzania
4-2-3-1- 21Cyprian Kachwele
- 6F. Salum
- 7H. Mao
- 17A. Msanga
- 8C. M'Mombwa
- 12Simon Happygod Msuva
- 15M. Hussein
- 4I. Hamad
- 26Miano van den Bos
- 22N. Chilambo
- 28Z. Foba
Nigeria
4-3-1-2- 22A. Adams
- 15M. Simon
- 4W. Ndidi
- 17A. Iwobi
- 7A. Lookman
- 4A. Adeoye
- 3S. Onyemaechi
- 6S. Ajayi
- 21C. Bassey
- 6E. Fernandez
- 1M. Okoye
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tanzania have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Nigeria have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Madagascar(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mação(away) | 6-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Liechtenstein(home) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Russia(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Poland(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tanzania wins, 0 draws, 1 Nigeria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Nigeria 2-1 Tanzania | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Tanzania score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nigeria score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzania | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Nigeria | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tanzania sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (1 point from 2 matches) and Nigeria sit 2nd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Tanzania vs Nigeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tanzania vs Nigeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nigeria the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Tanzania.
- Where and when is Tanzania vs Nigeria played?
- Tanzania vs Nigeria is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gombani Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.