Hai Phong vs Phu Dong: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Lạch Tray (Lach Tray Stadium), Hai Phong
The Footlab model makes Phu Dong the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hai Phong. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hai Phong vs Phu Dong?
Phu Dong starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hai Phong have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Phu Dong have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Nam Dinh(home) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Pho Hien(away) | 1-3 | V.League 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Da Nang(away) | 0-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Binh Duong(home) | 4-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Phu Dong(away) | 1-2 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Viettel(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh(home) | 3-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(away) | 2-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(home) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hai Phong win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Phu Dong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Phu Dong 2-1 Hai Phong | V.League 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Hai Phong 1-2 Phu Dong | Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Hai Phong 2-2 Phu Dong | V.League 1 |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Phu Dong 1-3 Hai Phong | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hai Phong score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Phu Dong score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hai Phong | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Phu Dong | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hai Phong sit 7th in V.League 1 (32 points from 26 matches) and Phu Dong sit 3rd (51 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Phu Dong | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 51 |
| 7 | Hai Phong | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hai Phong vs Phu Dong?
- The Footlab model makes Phu Dong the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hai Phong.
- Where and when is Hai Phong vs Phu Dong played?
- Hai Phong vs Phu Dong is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Lạch Tray (Lach Tray Stadium), in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.