Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Vinh (Vinh Stadium), Vinh
The Footlab model makes Bắc Ninh the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Song Lam Nghe An. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Song Lam Nghe An (1,635) and Bắc Ninh (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Song Lam Nghe An have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bắc Ninh have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Pho Hien(home) | 1-3 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Nam Dinh(away) | 0-3 | V.League 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Binh Duong(away) | 1-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Phu Dong(home) | 1-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(away) | 1-3 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Pho Hien(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | PVF-CAND(home) | 1-3 | V.League 2 |
| May 30, 2026 | Binh Dinh(away) | 4-2 | V.League 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Hồ Chí Minh II(home) | 8-0 | V.League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sanna Khanh Hoa(away) | 2-2 | V.League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Song Lam Nghe An score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bắc Ninh score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song Lam Nghe An | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bắc Ninh | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Song Lam Nghe An | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 40 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
- The Footlab model makes Bắc Ninh the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Song Lam Nghe An.
- Where and when is Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh played?
- Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Vinh (Vinh Stadium), in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.