Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy (Hang Day Stadium), Hanoi
The Footlab model makes Công An Nhân Dân the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 18, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Công An Nhân Dân starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Công An Nhân Dân have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Viettel(away) | 0-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Binh Duong(home) | 2-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(home) | 2-0 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Phu Dong(away) | 0-3 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Da Nang(home) | 0-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai(away) | 2-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Viettel(home) | 0-2 | V.League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Công An Nhân Dân win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1-1 Công An Nhân Dân | V.League 1 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Công An Nhân Dân 3-0 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | V.League 1 |
| May 9, 2025 | Công An Nhân Dân 0-0 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | V.League 1 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0-0 Công An Nhân Dân | V.League 1 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Công An Nhân Dân 2-1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | Cup |
| May 30, 2024 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1-0 Công An Nhân Dân | V.League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Công An Nhân Dân on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Công An Nhân Dân score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh score 0.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Công An Nhân Dân | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | 0.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Công An Nhân Dân sit 1st in V.League 1 (64 points from 26 matches) and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh sit 8th (29 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Công An Nhân Dân | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 58 | 22 | 64 |
| 8 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
- The Footlab model makes Công An Nhân Dân the favourite at 72%, against 20% for a draw and 8% for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh.
- Where and when is Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh played?
- Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy (Hang Day Stadium), in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.