Ho Chi Minh vs Ha Noi: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Thống Nhất (Thong Nhat Stadium), Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh (Ho Chi Minh City)
The Footlab model makes Ha Noi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Ho Chi Minh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ho Chi Minh vs Ha Noi?
Ha Noi starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ho Chi Minh have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Ha Noi have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Binh Duong(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dong Thap(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Phu Dong(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Nam Dinh(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ha Noi(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(home) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai(away) | 1-3 | V.League 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Nam Dinh(home) | 2-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Pho Hien(away) | 4-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(away) | 0-1 | V.League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ho Chi Minh win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ha Noi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ha Noi 1-1 Ho Chi Minh | V.League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Ho Chi Minh 2-1 Ha Noi | V.League 1 |
| May 18, 2025 | Ha Noi 5-1 Ho Chi Minh | V.League 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Ho Chi Minh 0-2 Ha Noi | V.League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Ho Chi Minh 1-3 Ha Noi | V.League 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Ha Noi 3-1 Ho Chi Minh | V.League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ho Chi Minh score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ha Noi score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ho Chi Minh | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Ha Noi | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ho Chi Minh sit 5th in V.League 1 (36 points from 26 matches) and Ha Noi sit 4th (46 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ha Noi | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 46 |
| 5 | Ho Chi Minh | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ho Chi Minh vs Ha Noi?
- The Footlab model makes Ha Noi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Ho Chi Minh.
- Where and when is Ho Chi Minh vs Ha Noi played?
- Ho Chi Minh vs Ha Noi is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Thống Nhất (Thong Nhat Stadium), in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.