Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Thiên Trường (Thien Truong Stadium), Nam Dinh
The Footlab model makes Nam Dinh the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Hoang Anh Gia Lai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
Nam Dinh starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nam Dinh have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hoang Anh Gia Lai have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hai Phong(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Song Lam Nghe An(home) | 3-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | Ha Noi(away) | 1-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Viettel(home) | 0-2 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Binh Duong(away) | 1-3 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Ha Noi(home) | 3-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh(home) | 0-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Pho Hien(home) | 1-2 | V.League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nam Dinh win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nam Dinh 1-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai | V.League 1 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-2 Nam Dinh | V.League 1 |
| May 18, 2025 | Nam Dinh 6-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai | V.League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-0 Nam Dinh | V.League 1 |
| May 13, 2024 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 Nam Dinh | V.League 1 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Nam Dinh 3-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai | V.League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nam Dinh score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hoang Anh Gia Lai score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nam Dinh | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nam Dinh sit 6th in V.League 1 (35 points from 26 matches) and Hoang Anh Gia Lai sit 10th (26 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nam Dinh | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 35 |
| 10 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 37 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?
- The Footlab model makes Nam Dinh the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.
- Where and when is Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai played?
- Nam Dinh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Thiên Trường (Thien Truong Stadium), in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.