Thanh Hóa vs Da Nang: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Thanh Hóa, Thanh Hóa
The Footlab model makes Da Nang the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Thanh Hóa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Da Nang?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Thanh Hóa (1,643) and Da Nang (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thanh Hóa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Da Nang have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Da Nang(away) | 0-4 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Phu Dong(home) | 0-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai(home) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(away) | 0-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ha Noi(home) | 1-0 | V.League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(home) | 4-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh(away) | 0-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Hai Phong(home) | 2-0 | V.League 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(away) | 2-2 | V.League 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Binh Duong(home) | 2-0 | V.League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Thanh Hóa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Da Nang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Da Nang 4-0 Thanh Hóa | V.League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Thanh Hóa 1-1 Da Nang | V.League 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Da Nang 1-0 Thanh Hóa | V.League 1 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Thanh Hóa 1-0 Da Nang | V.League 1 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Thanh Hóa 1-0 Da Nang | V.League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Da Nang 1-0 Thanh Hóa | V.League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thanh Hóa score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Da Nang score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanh Hóa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Da Nang | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thanh Hóa sit 11th in V.League 1 (25 points from 26 matches) and Da Nang sit 12th (24 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thanh Hóa | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 25 |
| 12 | Da Nang | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thanh Hóa vs Da Nang?
- The Footlab model makes Da Nang the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Thanh Hóa.
- Where and when is Thanh Hóa vs Da Nang played?
- Thanh Hóa vs Da Nang is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Thanh Hóa, in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.