Gais vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab AI model makes Gais the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sirius. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gais wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gais vs Sirius?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Gais (1,923) and Sirius (1,985).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gais vs Sirius
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gais
4-3-3- 11R. Niklasson
- 21N. Vasić
- 32O. Pettersson
- 7J. Åberg
- 34D. Collander
- 10H. Sletsjøe
- 2M. de Brienne
- 24F. Beckman
- 12R. Frej
- 4O. Ågren
- 1M. Krasniqi
Known absences
C. GraviusOut · Muscle injury- G. LundgrenOut · Achilles injury
- K. HolménOut · Knee injury
R. ÞorkelssonOut · Knee injury
Sirius
4-3-3- 30Z. Vancsa
- 9J. Uneken
- 11I. Bjerkebo
- 10M. Heier
- 24V. Svensson
- 7J. Persson
- 5H. Castegren
- 4T. Anker
- 22O. Krusnell
- 2Mohamed Soumah
- 34D. Celic
Known absences
M. LindbergOut · Suspended (yellow cards)
O. LiimattaDoubtful · Thigh injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gais have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sirius have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 5, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 31, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 7-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brondby(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Malmo FF(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gais wins, 1 draw, 3 Sirius wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sirius 2-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sirius 3-0 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| May 24, 2025 | Gais 2-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Gais 2-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Sirius 3-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 29, 2016 | Sirius 0-0 Gais | Superettan |
How many goals should we expect?
Gais score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Sirius | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gais sit 10th in Allsvenskan (30 points from 22 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (51 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 28 | 51 |
| 10 | Gais | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 20 | 30 |
A question about Gais vs Sirius?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gais vs Sirius?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gais the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sirius.
- Where and when is Gais vs Sirius played?
- Gais vs Sirius is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.