Gais vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Gais. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gais vs Sirius?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Gais (1,856) and Sirius (1,940).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gais have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sirius have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Malmo FF(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gais win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sirius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sirius 2-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sirius 3-0 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| May 24, 2025 | Gais 2-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Gais 2-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Sirius 3-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 29, 2016 | Sirius 0-0 Gais | Superettan |
How many goals should we expect?
Gais score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gais sit 10th in Allsvenskan (23 points from 18 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (42 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 10 | Gais | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gais vs Sirius?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Gais.
- Where and when is Gais vs Sirius played?
- Gais vs Sirius is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.