BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Bravida Arena, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes BK Hacken the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Orgryte IS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS?
BK Hacken starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BK Hacken have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Orgryte IS have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sirius(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 BK Hacken win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Orgryte IS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Orgryte IS 4-3 BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 14, 2026 | BK Hacken 2-0 Orgryte IS | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2022 | Orgryte IS 2-2 BK Hacken | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BK Hacken score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BK Hacken | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Orgryte IS | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BK Hacken sit 3rd in Allsvenskan (31 points from 18 matches) and Orgryte IS sit 15th (14 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BK Hacken | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 31 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS?
- The Footlab model makes BK Hacken the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Orgryte IS.
- Where and when is BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS played?
- BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Bravida Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.