Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Azor: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Azor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Azor?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Hapoel Sderot (1,671) and Hapoel Azor (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Sderot have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Azor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; Hapoel Azor score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
| Hapoel Azor | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Azor?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Azor.
- Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Azor played?
- Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Azor is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsDimona
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi YavnevsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 30, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Hadera
- Sep 30, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 30, 2026Tzeirey TiravsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 30, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Marmorek