Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 2-2 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 2-2 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-2 Hapoel Herzliya | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Shimshon Tel Aviv on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 25, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Azor
- Dec 25, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Dec 25, 2026Tzeirey TiravsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 26, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsFC Jerusalem
- Dec 26, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsBeitar Yavne
- Dec 26, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Sderot
- Dec 26, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsDimona