Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs FC Jerusalem played?

Hapoel Marmorek vs FC Jerusalem is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Marmorek vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot

Hapoel Marmorek

FC Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs FC Jerusalem?

FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,608).

Hapoel Marmorek win21 %

Draw24 %

FC Jerusalem win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Marmorek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Maccabi Ashdod(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Hapoel Herzliya(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Beitar Yavne(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Holon Yermiyahu(away)	2-1	Liga Alef

FC Jerusalem
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Dimona(home)	4-1	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Nordia Jerusalem(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Maccabi Ashdod(home)	3-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Herzliya(away)	5-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Jerusalem win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 16, 2026	FC Jerusalem 1-2 Hapoel Marmorek	Liga Alef
Sep 5, 2025	Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 FC Jerusalem	Liga Alef
Apr 25, 2025	Hapoel Marmorek 1-4 FC Jerusalem	Liga Alef
Dec 27, 2024	FC Jerusalem 2-2 Hapoel Marmorek	Liga Alef
Aug 30, 2024	FC Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Marmorek	State Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek on Jan 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Marmorek	0.9	1.3	4	7/15	5/15
FC Jerusalem	2.1	1.3	3	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	45	29	37
12	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20	34	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs FC Jerusalem?: The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs FC Jerusalem played?: Hapoel Marmorek vs FC Jerusalem is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.