Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Nesher win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Ironi Nesher 2-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 0-3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 0-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Ironi Nesher 2-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher on Feb 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsTira