Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead TownSalisbury

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839) and Salisbury (1,760).

Hemel Hempstead Town win43 %
Draw27 %
Salisbury win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Salisbury win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury 1-2 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Apr 25, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 SalisburyNational League - South
Dec 6, 2025Salisbury 1-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Nov 30, 2024Salisbury 5-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Aug 10, 2024Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 SalisburyNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Salisbury sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
15Salisbury3111624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Salisbury.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury played?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hemel Hempstead Town and Salisbury

Ready to know everything about football?