Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Salisbury the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?
On Elo ratings, Hemel Hempstead Town has 1,868 points and Salisbury 1,911.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hemel Hempstead Town
4-3-3- 16I. Noel-Williams
- 10Joseph White
- 23Trae Cook
- 7G. Williams
- 12Kyran Wiltshire
- 20Mauro Vilhete
- 3D. Dowrich
- 2Samuel Adenola
- 22Devante Stanley
- 15Mathew Achuba
- 1M. Johnson
Salisbury
4-3-3- OO. Dore
- DD. Fitchett
- JJ. Hedges
- CC. Watts
- RR. Silva
- 8Lewis Brown
- 6Sido Jombati
- JJosh Sommerton
- TThomas Leggett
- BBrian Dutton
- 27R. Byrne
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Salisbury have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win, 2 draws, 2 Salisbury wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Salisbury 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Salisbury 5-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Salisbury | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemel Hempstead Town sit 14th in National League - South (14 points from 11 matches) and Salisbury sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salisbury the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury played?
- Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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