Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Walton & Hersham: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead TownWalton & Hersham

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Walton & Hersham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Walton & Hersham?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839) and Walton & Hersham (1,843).

Hemel Hempstead Town win44 %
Draw26 %
Walton & Hersham win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Walton & Hersham have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Walton & Hersham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chesham United(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)0-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-5National League - South
Jul 21, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15
Walton & Hersham1.11.918/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Walton & Hersham sit 24th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
24Walton & Hersham40041120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Walton & Hersham?
The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Walton & Hersham.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Walton & Hersham played?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Walton & Hersham is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hemel Hempstead Town and Walton & Hersham

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