Where and when is Hereford vs Chester played?

Hereford vs Chester is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hereford vs Chester: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire

Hereford

Chester

The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hereford. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hereford vs Chester?

Chester starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,798).

Hereford win26 %

Draw27 %

Chester win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hereford
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Worksop Town(away)	3-0	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Radcliffe(home)	3-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Marine(home)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Buxton(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Bromsgrove Sporting(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Chester
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Spalding United(home)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Darlington 1883(away)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	King's Lynn Town(home)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chorley(away)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Crewe(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hereford win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chester win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 24, 2026	Hereford 5-2 Chester	National League - North
Nov 25, 2025	Chester 1-1 Hereford	National League - North
Apr 5, 2025	Hereford 2-2 Chester	National League - North
Nov 2, 2024	Chester 3-0 Hereford	National League - North
Feb 20, 2024	Hereford 1-1 Chester	National League - North
Sep 5, 2023	Chester 1-2 Hereford	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Hereford vs Chester on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hereford	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	9/15
Chester	1.3	0.3	11	3/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hereford sit 6th in National League - North (9 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chester	4	4	0	0	6	1	12
6	Hereford	4	3	0	1	8	2	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Chester?: The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Hereford.
Where and when is Hereford vs Chester played?: Hereford vs Chester is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.