Marine vs Radcliffe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marine vs Radcliffe?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Marine (1,792) and Radcliffe (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Radcliffe have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marine win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Radcliffe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Marine 3-0 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Radcliffe 4-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Radcliffe 0-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Marine 1-0 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Radcliffe 3-2 Marine | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Marine 3-2 Radcliffe | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marine sit 18th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Radcliffe sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Marine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marine vs Radcliffe?
- The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Marine vs Radcliffe played?
- Marine vs Radcliffe is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026MorecambevsAFC Telford United
- Aug 28, 2026Oxford CityvsBuxton
- Aug 28, 2026Hednesford TownvsHarborough Town
- Aug 29, 2026HerefordvsChester
- Aug 29, 2026Brackley TownvsSouth Shields
- Aug 29, 2026Bedford TownvsSpennymoor Town
- Aug 29, 2026Spalding UnitedvsWorksop Town
- Aug 29, 2026Merthyr TownvsChorley