Merthyr Town vs Chorley: result 1-1 and analysis
National League - NorthNational League North - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Chorley?
Merthyr Town and Chorley drew 1-1 on August 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 23′W. ClarkeChorley
- 83′576530Merthyr Town
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Merthyr Town win at 38%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marine(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chester(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Trafford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Merthyr Town win, 0 draws, 1 Chorley win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Merthyr Town 2-3 Chorley | National League - North |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Chorley 0-2 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Merthyr Town vs Chorley on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Chorley | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 18th in National League - North (14 points from 11 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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