Hertha BSC II vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC II vs FSV Zwickau?
FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hertha BSC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FSV Zwickau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | FSV Zwickau 2-0 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 3-3 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 4, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 2-0 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 3-0 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 2, 2024 | FSV Zwickau 4-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Hertha BSC II 4-3 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs Hertha BSC II on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FSV Zwickau | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nordost (4 points from 5 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC II vs FSV Zwickau?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC II vs FSV Zwickau played?
- Hertha BSC II vs FSV Zwickau is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 27, 2026Hallescher FCvsBFC Preussen
- Sep 27, 2026BFC DynamovsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 27, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Sep 27, 2026LuckenwaldevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Sep 27, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Sep 27, 2026RSV EintrachtvsChemnitzer FC
- Sep 27, 2026Magdeburg IIvsAltglienicke