Match

Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania BerlinFC Carl Zeiss Jena

The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?

FC Carl Zeiss Jena starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,818).

Tasmania Berlin win27 %
Draw24 %
FC Carl Zeiss Jena win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026RSV Eintracht(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2022Tasmania Berlin 0-1 FC Carl Zeiss JenaRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 28, 2021FC Carl Zeiss Jena 5-0 Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena on Mar 22, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1.90.978/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7FC Carl Zeiss Jena5302849
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?
Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tasmania Berlin and FC Carl Zeiss Jena

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