Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | Tasmania Berlin 0-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 28, 2021 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 5-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena on Mar 22, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
- The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 27, 2026Hallescher FCvsBFC Preussen
- Sep 27, 2026BFC DynamovsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 27, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsFSV Zwickau
- Sep 27, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Sep 27, 2026LuckenwaldevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Sep 27, 2026RSV EintrachtvsChemnitzer FC
- Sep 27, 2026Magdeburg IIvsAltglienicke